Clarion
University of Pennsylvania
|
|
College of Business Administration
Bureau of Business and
Economic Research
|
Bureau
of Business and Economic Research Home Page
Working
Paper Series
Titles and Abstracts
Download Information
99-09, Woodburne, Paul Russell,
"On the Role of Uncertainty and Asymmetric Asset Liquidity on Small
Banks and Small Business Lending," March 1999. Click
Here to Download
This paper discusses the
importance of credit to small businesses, and the role that banks play.
It also supports that small businesses are an asset to economic growth
because of their innovation, employment, and also their capability of research
and development.
99-03, Huang,Bwo-Nung, and
Chin W. Yang, "An Examination of Long-Term Memory Using the Intraday
Stock Returns," March 1999. Click
Here to Download
In this paper, we show
that by applying the modified R/S technique to the intraday data, there
exists the phenomenon of long-term memory in both NYSE and NASDAQ indices.
The policy implication is that an abnormal profit is entirely possible
for certain time intervals during a trading day. The efficient market
hypothesis may actually coexist with a global structure to comprise a fractal
market hypothesis. In addition, via a univariate ARMA model, we can
make more accurate forecasts on the stock returns in the time period when
a long-term memory is found.
99-02, Krause,Aric,
"Human Capital Skilling, FDI, and Economic Development: Toward
Equity," January 1999. Click
Here to Download
The purpose of this paper
is to analyze the prospects of equitable economic development through technology
transfer and human capital skilling. It begins by developing the
mechanism through which technology transfer can result in human capital
skilling. A discussion of technology transfer through foreign direct
investment is presented to illustrate the potential for economic development.
The paper then discusses the importance of transaction costs consideration
for encouraging technology transfer. Finally, implications for equity
are analyzed, then concludes with a brief discussion of policy implications.
99-01, Bish,Gerald C., "A
Comparison of Fault & No-Fault Theory in Negligence," January
1999.
This paper discusses the
rights given under our legal system to pursue a lawsuit to recover for
personal injuries, property damage, or some other form of loss due
to the wrongdoing of another individual. Then, lawsuits are pursued
to receive some form of compensation for these injuries, damages, ot losses,
to cover medical expenses as well as compensation for lost wages, emotional
suffering, and physical pain. Finally, when this lawsuit is
presented to a judge in court, the jury must decide what the facts are,
who is at fault, and if there was a degree of negligence on either person's
behalf.
98-03, Quesenberry,LeGene,
Barbara Garland, and Carl Farinacci, "Taking Aim at Target Markets,"
December 1998.
98-02, Quesenberry,LeGene,
"Adventure Tourism: An Environmental Protection Technique,"
September 1998.
Sustainable development
is the au courant theory regarding economic growth. Scholars
from various disciplines have taken issue with the definitions (or lack
of defining qualities) to the term sustainable development; but the environmental
problems spawned by population growth, unfettered industrialization, and
traditional economic policies require an innovative solution. This
paper explores the potential of ecotourism as a mechanism for sustainable
development, using Belize as a model.
98-01, Quesenberry,LeGene,
"International Implications Created by The Exercise of Usufructuary
Rights by Native Americans," April 1998.
97-07, Ewedemi,Soga, "A
Theory of Accidents," December 1997.
Two theories of accidents
have been proposed previously; namely the Loss Causation Chain and the
Energy Release theories of accidents. Another theory of accidents,
based on the availability and employment of relevant information is proposed
in this paper. This theory stipulates that occurrence of accidents
is a function of available relevant risk information as well as the available
information employed. It implies that accidents which occur on account
of failure to employ available information are not accidental and can be
prevented while accidents resulting from lack of relevant information are
unexplainable and cannot be prevented. Different strategies are therefore
required for dealing with preventable accidents (due to unsystematic risk
exposure) and unexplainable accidents (due to systematic risk exposure).
97-06, Hall,Anita, "Employee
Privacy Issues," November 1997.
One of the evolving areas
in employment law is the question of employee privacy. As technology
permits employers to easily monitor phone calls, computer productivity,
employee voice mail, and employee E-mail accounts, more conflict is arising
between employers and employees over privacy issues. While monitoring
once required large amounts of time and manpower, today a systems manager,
a network administrator or even another employee with a personal computer
may be able to tap into electronic mail sent over the company E-mail system
or over the Internet from a home computer. There have been a number
of instances when companies have been accused of overstepping the boundaries
and invading employee privacy. Employees have filed "invasion of
privacy" lawsuits against their employers. As electronic mail and
the Internet are used by more companies, managers are going to have to
make decisions as to how much information they need to acquire regarding
their employees, how much (if any) monitoring of computer and voice mail
systems they will do and also how the information they gather will be used.
97-05, Anderson,Carole and
Barbara Jones, "Student Internet Usage: Excessive or Not?"
September 1997.
Electronic communication
technology is becoming an important part of university-level education
processes. As a result, students routinely utilize a variety of Internet
services. This pilot study represents survey results describing the
student usage of Internet services available at a small western Pennsylvania
state university. The findings, based upon 77 student subjects, provide
insight into usage levels and applications of various network services.
97-04, Raehsler,Rod, "Turning
Point Forecasts Using Regional Financial Data," August 1997.
In general, the basic forecasting
problem is one of utilizing all relevant information to effectively minimize
errors in predicting future values of economic time series. In addition,
the ability of the forecast to predict regime changes and to provide accurate
forecasts at minimal cost are important properties to consider as well.
Having stated this, there is considerable scope for choosing alternative
forecasting strategies in terms of the structural form of the model and
the information set to consider in devising the forecast. Much of
the debate in this area, consequently, has been directed toward determining
which type of model specification elicits the most accurate forecasts.
Because micro-level data are influenced by both national and regional economic
conditions one would expect these series to fluctuate more over time and
be more difficult to forecast. Certainly these data series are more
sensitive to short-run economic fluctuations specific to major industrial
sectors. As an initial investigation, this paper utilizes a Bayesian
time series approach and regional financial data to forecast turning points
and levels of two important regional employment and income variables.
Forecast results are then compared to alternative model specifications
with and without the regional indicator variables. It is found that
regional financial data improves the forecast accuracy of employment and
income levels but does not help identify turning points in the time series.
97-03, Raehsler,Rod, "Ultimatum
Bargaining Experiments and Student Knowledge of Economic Theory in Introductory
Economics," August 1997.
This paper examines the
results of a series of ultimatum bargaining games in relation to academic
performance in an introductory economics course. It is shown that
while a high correlation exists between the proportion of the pie kept
in the bargaining experiment and test performance in the course, the experiment
itself does not sufficiently increase the degree of learning in the course,
rather, the experiment acts as a measure of prior knowledge.
97-02, Wilson,Tim and Hakan
Boter, "After-Sales Service Needs: Experiences of a Swedish International
Firm," May 1997.
Alimak is a Swedish firm
that specializes in rack and pinion technology, and is a world distributor
of industrial lifts. Founded in 1948, the company has developed substantially,
concentrating on the design, development, manufacturing, supply, and after-sales
service of construction hoists, permanent goods and service lifts for industry
and commerce, work platforms, and a range of mining equipment.
97-01, Wilson,Tim and Carole
Anderson, "Dietrich Industries, Incorporated: Case/Teaching Notes,"
April 1997.
Dietrich Industries, Inc.
is a metal framing and processing company. The problem the Company
is experiencing deals with developing a sufficiently sized pool of applicants
for entry level managerial training positions.